Stocks higher, but there are signs for a recession

Stocks rocketed higher after positive trade news from the weekend.


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On Saturday, President Trump and President Xi of China agreed to put the escalating trade war on hold. The two agreed to suspend tariff increases for 90 days so they can focus on settling trade disagreements.


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Stocks opened the day with nice gains. There was a pullback after the open and then the major indices traded sideways for most of the day. Although stocks finished off of highs day, the major indices were still up nicely with gains of 1.0%+.


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Here’s where the major indices ended the day:

  • The S&P finished with a 1.1% gain. Up 30 points, the S&P ended at 2,790.
  • The DOW ended higher by 1.1%. Adding 288 points, the DOW closed at 25,826.
  • The NASDAQ was up 1.5%. With a 111 point gain, the NASDAQ finished at 7,442.
  • Bitcoin finished lower by 1.7%. Down $65, Bitcoin ended at $3,830.

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Crude Oil (CL) had a great start to the week after a big move overnight. With a 4.1% gain, CL finished at $53.00 a barrel.

Advanced Micro (AMD) led the S&P 500 with an 11.3% gain today. Big names like Amazon (AMZN) and Apple (AAPL) were also up nicely, with 4.9% and 3.5% gains respectively.

While most stocks in the DOW were higher, Verizon (VZN) was the worst performer in the index with a 3.6% loss. The drop came after a downgrade by JP Morgan.


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It was a strong day overall. But THIS isn’t a good sign…

Today the yield of the 5-year treasury note dipped below the 3-year note for the first time since 2007. This means that investors are paid more for 3-year notes than the longer 5-year notes. Although this doesn’t happen too often, traders really keep an eye on an inversion between the 2-year and 10-year notes, which has occurred every time before all U.S. recessions since WWII.

Source: RockwellTrading by Markus Heitkoetter | Original Link

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