The much awaited Jackson Hole speech by the Fed Chair Janet Yellen – and the subsequent nonfarm payrolls data failed to ignite the prospects of a rate hike this September of 2016. The market now forecasts only a 21% probability of a rate hike in this month, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. The probability … Read more
If a bond has a negative yield, then the bondholders will lose their money on their investment. In the long run, their expectations are lower and consequently they lose the incentive to invest — which may have far-reaching repercussions. Green Bonds Are Changing Investor Expectation’s The rapid growth of the green bond market has sparked … Read more
Last week ended on a very positive note for those who follow and trade filtered price spikes. What is a filtered price spike? In short, I scan pre-market, and post-market trading hours’ price charts of SPY, QQQ, IWM, GLD, and GDX for a very special odd tick in the market which creates a spike on … Read more
The trading week was starting to look as though it was going to end without any excitement. Wow, did that ever change on Friday! On Wednesday Aug 24th, the stock market sold off to a level which I consider to be an extreme oversold condition for the week. While I do have several criteria as … Read more
The SPX has completed its’ “Broadening Topping Pattern” …the next trend is DOWNWARDS! The current pattern is suggesting that a significant top is at hand. I fully believe both in patterns and indicators and right now the current pattern is suggesting that a significant top is at hand. My cycles are suggesting a potential “Black … Read more
Low and negative yields mean that no one has the confidence to invest in real capital projects. Investors would much rather lose money over a 10-year horizon than invest in building dams, repairing pipes, creating better grids, starting new businesses, etc. A new monetary order must replace the existing one, and as soon as possible. … Read more
The People’s Bank of China (PBOC) has received approval from the World Bank allowing its’ issuance of bonds which are denominated in Special Drawing Rights (SDRs). The World Bank is the first entity to approve of it and consequently marks the launch of the SDR bond market of the worlds’ second-largest economy. Jim Yong Kim, … Read more
The current overall SPX pattern is a broadening top, which is usually a very reliable pattern. The market continues to look as though it wants to go even lower. The momentum shift, which I have been expecting, has been slow to start, however one should be prepared for this occurrence ahead of time. Nevertheless, the … Read more
Despite the expectations of a rate hike by the Fed in December of 2016, silver has remained close to its highs (as shown in the chart below). After a stellar run, the white metal is consolidating near its highs, while anticipating its next imminent breakout. Along with investing in the white metal directly, investors should … Read more
The stock market tends to repeat itself on regular bases. Why? Because it moves mainly based on the emotions of market participants, with the exception of extreme times when the masses are moving the market with extreme fear or greed, at which point they are flooding the market with buy or sell orders to create … Read more